Foehn Forecast Alps - Three Axis

When an air mass is forced over a mountain range, going from a high to a low pressure area, it cools adiabatically, that is without heat exchange with the rest of the atmosphere. On its way up, the atmosphere loses most of its humidity in the form of clouds and precipitation, a phenomenon called Stau. As it flows back down, it becomes Foehn, a warm, dry wind that flows on the low-pressure side of a Alps.

To forecast this phenomenon along the entire Alpine arc, we look at sea level pressure forecasts across three axes: Annecy-Aosta cutting through the Alps in the West, Zurich-Como in the Central region, and Innsbruck-Bolzano in the East.

Observations suggests that the pressure differential must be at least 4 hPa for the Foehn to affect Alpine valleys. When this differential exceeds 8 hPa, the Foehn often extends into the nearby lowlands, bringing blue skies and unseasonably warm temperatures to our cities. Learn more on Skybrary

Data source: NOAA GFS 0.25°

Updated daily at: 05:00 UTC

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Map of the Alps showing the three Foehn forecast axes: Annecy-Aosta, Zurich-Como and Innsbruck-Bolzano
Foehn forecast chart for the Annecy-Aosta axis: sea level pressure difference, Annecy minus Aosta, over the seven-day GFS forecast
Annecy, France - Aosta, Italy

Foehn forecast chart for the Zurich-Como axis: sea level pressure difference, Zurich minus Como, over the seven-day GFS forecast
Zurich, Switzerland - Como, Italy

Foehn forecast chart for the Innsbruck-Bolzano axis: sea level pressure difference, Innsbruck minus Bolzano, over the seven-day GFS forecast
Innsbruck, Austria - Bolzano, Italy